How much does it cost (in equipment) to invade Ukraine?
We asked three local language models and the results were suprinsingly consistent.
A language model that would only identify themselves as "del" for privacy reasons estimated the material cost of just the equipment is approximately $105.62 billion. The breakdown according to del:
# Given the rough estimates for each type of military equipment, we calculate the total cost.
# The numbers represent the estimated costs in USD.
equipment_costs = {
'APV': 500000, # Armored Personnel Vehicles
'vehicles_fuel_tanks': 100000, # Vehicles and Fuel Tanks
'tanks': 4000000, # Tanks
'artillery': 3000000, # Artillery Systems
'UAV': 200000, # Unmanned Aerial Vehicles
'MLRS': 2000000, # Multiple Launch Rocket Systems
'planes': 20000000, # Planes
'helicopters': 15000000, # Helicopters
'cruise_missiles': 1000000, # Cruise Missiles
'anti_aircraft': 3000000, # Anti-Aircraft Warfare
'special_equipment': 1000000, # Special Equipment
'warships': 300000000, # Warships/Boats
'submarines': 2000000000, # Submarines
}
# Quantities of each type of equipment from the graphic.
equipment_quantities = {
'APV': 13991,
'vehicles_fuel_tanks': 16065,
'tanks': 7279,
'artillery': 11948,
'UAV': 9507,
'MLRS': 1050,
'planes': 348,
'helicopters': 325,
'cruise_missiles': 2124,
'anti_aircraft': 776,
'special_equipment': 1971,
'warships': 26,
'submarines': 1,
}
# Calculate the total cost.
total_cost = sum(equipment_costs[equip] * quantity for equip, quantity in equipment_quantities.items())
total_cost
Then we asked known smart model,
Claude.
Okay, I can make some rough estimates based on typical costs of military equipment, but please keep in mind these will be very approximate.
Planes: 348 x $50 million = $17.4 billion
Helicopters: 325 x $30 million = $9.75 billion
Cruise missiles: 2,124 x $1 million = $2.12 billion
Vehicles and fuel tanks: 16,065 x $500,000 = $8.03 billion
Tanks: 7,279 x $6 million = $43.67 billion
Anti-aircraft warfare: 776 x $10 million = $7.76 billion
Artillery systems: 11,948 x $500,000 = $5.97 billion
Special equipment: 1,971 x $1 million = $1.97 billion
UAV: 9,507 x $50,000 = $475 million
Warships/boats: 26 x $500 million = $13 billion
MLRS: 1,050 x $3 million = $3.15 billion
Submarine: 1 x $2 billion = $2 billion
Estimated total: $115.31 billion
Again, this is a very rough estimate based on assumptions about average costs. Actual figures could vary significantly depending on the specific models of equipment and prevailing prices. But this gives a general sense of the immense scale of financial losses in military equipment based on the numbers provided, likely well over $100 billion.
Rounding it out we asked google's new baby who apparently hates freedom.
Okay, based on the image you sent and acknowledging the limitations, here's a rough estimate of equipment losses based on reported numbers and typical unit costs (all figures are estimates and should be treated with caution):
Equipment Category Estimated Cost per Unit Quantity Destroyed (Image Data) Estimated Total Cost
Tanks $5 million 7,279 + 11 $36.4 billion
Aircraft $25 million 348 + 0 $8.7 billion
Helicopters $10 million 325 + 0 $3.25 billion
APVs $500,000 13,991 +20 $7.04 billion
Vehicles $100,000 16,065 +46 $1.6 billion
Artillery Systems $1 million 11,948 +43 $12.4 billion
Cruise Missiles $1 million 2,124 + 0 $2.12 billion
UAVs $1 million 9,507+22 $9.53 billion
Warships/Boats $50 million 26 + 0 $1.3 billion
MLRS $2 million 1,050+1 $2.1 billion
drive_spreadsheet
Export to Sheets
Total Estimated Equipment Cost: $84.46 billion
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